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Dr. Thomas Abowd: A Few Facts to Ponder

Friday, August 11, 2006

A Few Facts to Ponder

A few facts to ponder about the current war/hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel.

1) This is the first time, during any previous Israeli War, that thousands of Israelis have been evacuated from cities and towns for several weeks.

2) While the vast majority of the Lebanese and Palestinians Israel has killed in the last month are CIVILIAN non-combatants, the majority of Israelis Hezbollah has killed during this war have been Israeli SOLDIERS.

3) Israel has not yet killed 100 Hezbollah fighters (as of 8/10/06) and thus, has not even begun to deplete the fighting force of Hezbollah's several thousand strong army.

4) As stated previously on this BLOG, if Hezbollah emerges from this Israeli invasion with the capacity to fire even ONE rocket into northern Israel, it is they--NOT ISRAEL--who can claim victory. Many a perceptive Israeli analyst understands this, perhaps Olmert does, too, finally. However, because Israel can not eliminate this mass-based organization with support from a now more united Lebanonese public, Israel will certainly lose this campaign at least this one important way. Their purported purposes for invading Lebanon will not and can not be realized, even though the US has bought them about a month to try to kill Hezbollah.

5) The fact that Israeli forces/government have killed over 1000 innocent civilians in the last month might make the anti-Arab racists in Israel happy (i'm sure it does) but this kind of "we'll show them how 'bad' we are" logic can not change the fact that Israel can not win this war. I challenge any reader to demonstrate how Israel can emerge from this conflict having won.

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